Posts Tagged ‘bets’

About Flush

Hi,

I don’t know why but it seems to me that drawing for a flush fails more often that I expect. Well, I know that I should also consider that the other players or burn cards are of my suit. For example, I hold two hearts and two hearts come on the flop. In reality, it’s 9 outs for me with two shots to get those outs. And if I will base it on the probability chart, there’ll be a 39% chance to complete. If in quick method, 9 outs * 2 opportunities = 18 * 2 + 1 = 37%. More or less, I’ll call a decent number of bets with a 1:3 chance of a flush.

However, what if there are 8 other players at the table and every player is holding two hole cards, so that would be 16 cards, which probability tells me means 4 hearts? Do you think I should just consider that there are only 5 outs? If so then there’ll be 21% chance, 1:5. Calling will not be a good idea then.

Hope to hear from you in no time.

Thanks in advance.

Regards,
Dennis Martin
Dennis,

You don’t take into consideration other players when calculating your odds. Logic would dictate that you should, but in reality you do not. You go with your nine outs.

On Calling Stations

Hello,

I’ve been into poker for a year or two now. Well, I love playing online. In a reasonable span of time, I was able to familiarize myself about position and odds.

Just recently, I introduced some of my friends to poker and as of now we are planning to be into regular events. But there’s a problem. All of them seriously want to call stations and so I believe my online style won’t be effective.

For an instance in middle position I had ace queen and then for four times the BB I raised. Four callers appeared. Maybe I’ll think of tightening up and wait for premium hands however I know I have to consider first if my premium is strong enough to fight hard in case the field just can’t be narrowed to one opponent. Any thoughts?

Thanks!

Regards,
Vinze
Vinze,

You can also try and play small ball poker where you see a lot of cheap flops with them and when you connect strong with the flop, punish them with extra bets.

Dealer Mistake

Hi,

Before anything, I would like first to commend you for this nice site. Great job on this one and keep it up!

Well, I’m here now to share something and ask from you a piece of advice or the like. Just recently, I was able to make it to a semi-final tournament for a cash prize. Dealer in the said tournament also played. She was still in the hand when the river came. She then burned a card from the deck and then showed one of her two cards as the river card. Then bets were made and afterwards she claimed that everything she did was done without intention. Some watchers called the director. A few players then expressed they saw her do such thing intentionally. However, some players have no idea at all about what happened.

Personally, I believe that as a dealer, once she exposed her card, with or with intention, she should be out of the hand and any bets she had made should be forfeited. However, the director said that it was with no intention, that it was just an accident and so she could have her card and then go on as nothing happened.

Now, I want to know your opinion. I believe she was careless. What do you think?

Thank you in advance.

Warm regards,
Pearman
Pearman,

I do see why people would say it was intentional. 2 cards are not as thick as the 28 cards of the deck. I don’t see how she made that mistake, but I wasn’t there.