Posts Tagged ‘drawing’

About Flush

Hi,

I don’t know why but it seems to me that drawing for a flush fails more often that I expect. Well, I know that I should also consider that the other players or burn cards are of my suit. For example, I hold two hearts and two hearts come on the flop. In reality, it’s 9 outs for me with two shots to get those outs. And if I will base it on the probability chart, there’ll be a 39% chance to complete. If in quick method, 9 outs * 2 opportunities = 18 * 2 + 1 = 37%. More or less, I’ll call a decent number of bets with a 1:3 chance of a flush.

However, what if there are 8 other players at the table and every player is holding two hole cards, so that would be 16 cards, which probability tells me means 4 hearts? Do you think I should just consider that there are only 5 outs? If so then there’ll be 21% chance, 1:5. Calling will not be a good idea then.

Hope to hear from you in no time.

Thanks in advance.

Regards,
Dennis Martin
Dennis,

You don’t take into consideration other players when calculating your odds. Logic would dictate that you should, but in reality you do not. You go with your nine outs.

Fill Someone’s Open Ended Straight

Hello,

I remember that for once you’ve used the following as example:

Hole: AK
Board: TJ4

Well, it implies that drawing to the queen is actually more justifiable as you have 2 overs. I agree a bit as I don’t know what will happen in the event Ace or King drops. It’s a good thing that suddenly you have top pair-top kicker. But what if it just fill someone’s open ended straight?

I’ve already seen a lot of games by which one person hits the top pair which just happens to be the high end of someone else’s straight.

Any thoughts?

Many thanks,
Ry
Ry,

If you think they are on a draw, then bet out to chase them out the pot if you can. Otherwise, if you bet your top pair and meet resistance, you may want to consider getting away from the hand.